PWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?24%Chance77%
$100 → $426$100 → $131
MARKETS
World
PWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?7%Chance94%
$100 → $1,538$100 → $107
PChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?14%Chance86%
$100 → $714$100 → $116
PUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?6%Chance94%
$100 → $1,639$100 → $106
PChina x Japan military clash before 2027?9%Chance92%
$100 → $1,176$100 → $109
90%Chance10%
$100 → $111$100 → $1,000
17%Chance84%
$100 → $606$100 → $120
PIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?9%Chance91%
$100 → $1,111$100 → $110
13%Chance88%
$100 → $800$100 → $114
PWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?14%Chance86%
$100 → $704$100 → $116
16%Chance85%
$100 → $645$100 → $118
PIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?15%Chance86%
$100 → $690$100 → $117
PIran nuclear test before 2027?5%Chance96%
$100 → $2,222$100 → $105
PWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?25%Chance75%
$100 → $398$100 → $133
10%Chance91%
$100 → $1,053$100 → $110
8%Chance93%
$100 → $1,333$100 → $108
PWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?8%Chance93%
$100 → $1,333$100 → $108
21%Chance79%
$100 → $481$100 → $126
PWill Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?50%Chance50%
$100 → $200$100 → $200
PWill Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?19%Chance81%
$100 → $526$100 → $123
PWill Russia enter Svitle by September 30?24%Chance76%
$100 → $417$100 → $132
PWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30?40%Chance60%
$100 → $250$100 → $167
PWill Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?28%Chance73%
$100 → $364$100 → $138
15%Chance85%
$100 → $662$100 → $118
3%Chance97%
$100 → $3,571$100 → $103
58%Chance43%
$100 → $174$100 → $235
19%Chance82%
$100 → $541$100 → $123
5%Chance95%
$100 → $2,000$100 → $105
4%Chance96%
$100 → $2,500$100 → $104
6%Chance94%
$100 → $1,639$100 → $106
5%Chance95%
$100 → $1,887$100 → $105