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Climate
WTWill there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YesNo
$6.5M Vol.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
YesNo
$2.3M Vol.
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
YesNo
$1.2M Vol.
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
YesNo
$1.1M Vol.
W2Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
YesNo
$758.7K Vol.
1O10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
YesNo
$685.4K Vol.
WUWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
YesNo
$628.2K Vol.
WTWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
YesNo
$498.1K Vol.
W2Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
YesNo
$481.2K Vol.
W2Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
YesNo
$478.8K Vol.
W2Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
YesNo
$456.4K Vol.
W2Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
YesNo
$440.7K Vol.
WTWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YesNo
$411.2K Vol.
WTWill there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YesNo
$346.7K Vol.
W2Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
YesNo
$339.7K Vol.
WAWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
YesNo
$332K Vol.
5M5kt meteor strike in 2026?
YesNo
$306.6K Vol.
WTWill there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
YesNo
$274.1K Vol.
WTWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
YesNo
$270.9K Vol.
9O9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
YesNo
$226K Vol.
NDNatural Disaster in 2026?
YesNo
$223.2K Vol.
WTWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YesNo
$220.8K Vol.
WTWill there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YesNo
$208.9K Vol.
WTWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YesNo
$185.8K Vol.
WTWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YesNo
$177.7K Vol.
WTWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YesNo
$175.1K Vol.
MMMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
YesNo
$165.1K Vol.
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
YesNo
$145.3K Vol.
WAWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
YesNo
$141.1K Vol.
WAWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
YesNo
$136.9K Vol.
WTWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YesNo
$132.1K Vol.
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
YesNo
$129.4K Vol.
1M1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
YesNo
$110K Vol.
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
YesNo
$97.1K Vol.
MVMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
YesNo
$95.5K Vol.
WTWill there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YesNo
$73.7K Vol.
WTWill there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YesNo
$63K Vol.
WTWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YesNo
$60.1K Vol.
WTWill there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
YesNo
$38.8K Vol.
WTWill there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
YesNo
$33K Vol.
WTWill there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
YesNo
$30.7K Vol.
WTWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
YesNo
$27.7K Vol.
WTWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?
YesNo
$13.7K Vol.
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?
YesNo
$10.3K Vol.
WTWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
YesNo
$4.8K Vol.
WTWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
YesNo
$3.3K Vol.
WTWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
YesNo
$2K Vol.
WTWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?
YesNo
$1.8K Vol.
WTWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?
YesNo
$1.6K Vol.
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